Iran escalates Gulf tensions with missile attacks, voiding the US memorandum. Successful targeting of shipping on July 7 at 97.4% YES.

Iran fires missiles at ships in the Strait of Hormuz, escalating tensions. Successful targeting of shipping on July 7 at 94.2% YES.

US strikes Iran and revokes its oil export license after tanker attacks. Invasion of Iran before 2027 at 14.5% YES.

Iran accuses the US of breaching agreements, raising tensions. Successful targeting of shipping on July 7 at 97.2% YES.

Iran strikes Bahrain and Kuwait amid US tensions. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 15.5% YES.

US strikes on Iran's southern coast end the MOU, raising tensions. Full airspace closure by July 31 at 16.5% YES.

The US military launched major strikes on Iran in response to Iranian attacks on three vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, CENTCOM said

Iran expands its target list to include U.S. allies. Targeting shipping on July 7 at 97.4% YES.

Both sides have accused each other of violating the memorandum of understanding signed in June.

US conducts retaliatory strikes on Iran after missile attacks. Invasion before 2027 now at 14.5% YES.

Iran escalates Gulf tensions with missile attacks, voiding the US memorandum. Successful targeting of shipping on July 7 at 97.4% YES.

US strikes Iranian targets near the Strait of Hormuz escalate tensions. Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7 at 96.4% YES.