China tests a submarine-launched missile in the Pacific, drawing regional condemnation. Invasion of Taiwan by December 31, 2027 at 11.5% YES.

China plans to test a nuclear-capable missile in the South Pacific within 24 hours. Military clash between China and Japan before 2027 at 6.5% YES.

China’s navy reports a successful strategic missile test from a nuclear submarine in the Pacific, with a training warhead landing in a designated sea area.