Netanyahu's government plans to selectively comply with court rulings, leading to a 40.5% chance he is ousted by 2026.

Netanyahu defies the Supreme Court, escalating Israel's constitutional crisis. Ouster before 2027 priced at 46% YES.

In parallel to Israel's regional wars, Netanyahu has also been embroiled in an escalating domestic crisis around the power of the judiciary.

Opponents say stance paves way for constitutional crisis and undermining of elections