Ukraine strikes Crimea substations, causing power outages. Recapture of Crimean territory by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.

Russia launches intense missile and drone assault on Kyiv. Ukraine recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.

Ukraine strikes Russian oil refinery and UAV warehouse. Recapturing Crimea by December 31, 2026 at 11.5% YES.