Russian bombing in Kiev kills 30, marking a deadly escalation. Ceasefire by December 31, 2026 at 39.5% YES.

Russia strikes Kyiv with drones and missiles after Zelensky's warning. NATO-Russia military clash by December 31, 2026 at 18% YES.

Russian attacks on Kyiv escalate, reducing ceasefire prospects. Ceasefire by December 31, 2026 at 41.5% YES.