Ukrainian strike ignites fire at Russian facility in Belgorod region. Ceasefire by December 31, 2026 at 42.5% YES.

Ukraine expands missile strikes inside Russia, raising concerns of escalation. Russian nuclear test by December 31, 2026, at 10.9% YES.

Ukraine strikes deep inside Russia, targeting key facilities. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 26% YES.