Putin launches retaliatory strikes after Ukraine attacks. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 24% YES.

Ukrainian drone strikes worsen Russian fuel shortages, with Putin acknowledging the crisis. Ukraine recaptures Crimea by June 30, 2026 at 0.1% YES.

Russian glide bombs killed two in Ukraine amid intensified attacks. Russia entering Sloviansk by December 31, 2026 at 26% YES.