Iran appoints Mojtaba Khamenei as Supreme Leader after his father's death. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 2.7% YES.

Iran's Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei was killed in an Israeli strike, leading to increased instability; regime fall by end of 2026 at 9.5% YES.

Mojtaba Khamenei, who has spent his career behind the scenes and is yet to appear in public as Iran's new supreme leader, faces the formidable challenge of occupying the role held…