US-Israel operation kills Iran's Khamenei, raising regime change prospects. Iranian regime falls by end of 2026 at 9.5% YES.

Iran prepares for Ali Khamenei's funeral amid leadership transition. No head of state in Iran by end of 2026 at 84.2% YES.

Khamenei's death triggers leadership transition in Iran. Leadership change by December 31 at 16.5% YES.