Against its wishes, the entire Middle East has become embroiled in the US-Israeli-Iranian triangle of conflict. Since a ceasefire was agreed at the beginning of April, the region has been left with little certainty as to whether this fragile truce will lead to a long-term solution or, should negotiations fail, to a resumption of the war, possibly with even greater intensity. Meanwhile, the facade of a united US-Israeli front regarding Iran and its proxies has begun to show widening cracks.

The US, Iran, Israel and Hezbollah all have reasons to avoid full-scale war. But none yet has a serious route to peace.

As US, Israel and Iran oscillate between escalation and diplomacy, regional media split: Gulf focus energy security, Israeli warn weak US-Iran deal, Iran-aligned cite leverage,…