Against its wishes, the entire Middle East has become embroiled in the US-Israeli-Iranian triangle of conflict. Since a ceasefire was agreed at the beginning of April, the region has been left with little certainty as to whether this fragile truce will lead to a long-term solution or, should negotiations fail, to a resumption of the war, possibly with even greater intensity. Meanwhile, the facade of a united US-Israeli front regarding Iran and its proxies has begun to show widening cracks.

The current ceasefire has held just enough to prevent a return to all-out war, but neither side is close to achieving peace, says Sanam Vakil, director of the Middle East and…

The US, Iran, Israel and Hezbollah all have reasons to avoid full-scale war. But none yet has a serious route to peace.

The developments highlight how closely the Lebanese front has become tied to wider US-Iran diplomacy