Following an unexpectedly hot jobs report, prediction market traders see a 52% chance the Federal Reserve increases interest rates this year.

US jobs data increased December rate hike odds to 63%. Rate hike by December priced at 63% YES.

$1,409,579 has traded on "Fed rate hike in 2026?" as of June 5, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Market™

$156,758 has traded on "Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?" as of June 5, 2026. View real-time odds or trade on The World's Largest Prediction Market™

Traders in the US$31 trillion Treasuries market fully priced in a Federal Reserve interest-rate hike by the end of this year. Read more here

Following an unexpectedly hot jobs report, prediction market traders see a 52% chance the Federal Reserve increases interest rates this year.

Odds of at least one interest rate increase by year-end rose to 67%, up from 45% last week, according to CME's FedWatch tool.