Trump claims responsibility for starting the US-Iran war, raising invasion odds. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 17.5% YES.

Iran and the US exchanged air strikes near the Strait of Hormuz, raising tensions. US invasion of Iran by 2027 at 15.5% YES.

US strikes Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 15.5% YES.

US strikes Iranian military sites, escalating tensions in the region. Invasion of Iran before 2027 at 15.5% YES.

Trump claims responsibility for starting the US-Iran war, raising invasion odds. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 17.5% YES.

Trump says all-out war with Iran is unlikely without U.S. fatalities. U.S. invasion of Iran before 2027 at 16.5% YES.

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