Trump claims responsibility for starting the US-Iran war, raising invasion odds. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 17.5% YES.

Iran and the US exchanged air strikes near the Strait of Hormuz, raising tensions. US invasion of Iran by 2027 at 15.5% YES.

US strikes Iranian targets in the Strait of Hormuz. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 15.5% YES.