Chances of a nuclear deal between the U.S. and Iran this year haven't moved much on prediction markets after Axios reported that the two agreed to a ceasefire.

The United States and Iran have reportedly reached a tentative agreement on a 60-day memorandum of understanding aimed at extending the current ceasefire and reopening…

The US and Iran have reached an agreement on a 60-day memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire and launch negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program

US and Iran reached a tentative deal pending Trump's approval. Agreement or ceasefire by June 7 at 53% YES.