US plans to cut military support for NATO. NATO-Russia clash by June 30, 2026 at 4.2% YES, and by December 31, 2026 at 25.5% YES.

EU's Kallas condemns Russia's missile strike, raising NATO-Russia clash fears. Clash by June 30, 2026 at 4% YES.

US halts strike operations amid Russian airstrikes on Kyiv. Ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026 at 43.5% YES.