The impending arrival of El Niño will help keep the number of storms low. But it only takes one landfall to create a catastrophe.

Previous early forecasts have generally suggested a slightly below-average Atlantic season, while noting high levels of uncertainty in the forecast.

Scientists are warning that despite the prediction of fewer storms, “it only takes one” to change a season.

This year’s expected El Niño could hamper hurricanes in the Atlantic but boost them in the central and eastern Pacific