Fed rate cut probability before 2027 drops to 32.9%, the lowest in months. No Fed rate cuts in 2026 at 69.8% YES.

Trump suggests Fed rate cuts may be delayed until the Iran conflict ends. No rate cuts in 2026 at 68.5% YES.

Kalshi and Polymarket traders put $42M+ on a Fed hold June 17 as markets signal no cuts through 2026 amid 3.8% inflation.

Fed minutes hint at possible rate hikes if inflation stays high. Rate hike in 2026 at 31.5% YES.