Iran conflict pressures Asian markets, raising concerns over Fed rate cuts. No rate cuts in 2026 at 69.5% YES.

Iran conflict leads to $25B in losses for global firms. WTI Crude at $110 in May 2026 priced at 60.5% YES.

G7 meets in Paris amid rising tensions with Iran. US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 49% YES.

Trump suggests Fed rate cuts may be delayed until the Iran conflict ends. No rate cuts in 2026 at 68.5% YES.

Iran escalates military action amid US conflict. Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 16% YES.

Inflation is rising again as energy shocks push markets to price in potential Fed rate hikes in 2026, shifting expectations away from cuts.

Fed minutes show growing support for rate hikes. No Fed rate cuts in 2026 at 65.7% YES.

Iran conflict pressures Asian markets, raising concerns over Fed rate cuts. No rate cuts in 2026 at 69.5% YES.

Trump announced US-Iran nuclear deal talks are in final stages, making a $150 oil spike less likely. WTI at 1.4% YES for $150 in May 2026.

Fed rate cut probability before 2027 drops to 32.9%, the lowest in months. No Fed rate cuts in 2026 at 69.8% YES.

Trump is considering military options against Iran, but the market signals a US invasion at 22.5% YES, while WTI crude hitting $110 in May 2026 is at 32% YES.