A UN study projects that a large share of Ukrainian refugees would remain in Europe in the event of a “fragile peace with concessions” in the war with Russia. According to research by the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR), as cited by European Pravda, one modeled scenario assumes that Russia maintains de facto control over occupied territories, while investment levels in Ukrainian government-controlled regions stay moderate to high, and the EU’s Temporary Protection scheme for Ukrainians ends in March 2027.

In the event of a "fragile peace", over 2.9 million Ukrainian refugees may remain in Europe until 2029.

A UN study projects that a large share of Ukrainian refugees would remain in Europe in the event of a “fragile peace with concessions” in the war with Russia. According to…