G7 meets in Paris amid rising tensions with Iran. US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 49% YES.

US rejects Iran's proposal amid tensions. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by December 31 at 76.5% YES.

Iran tensions drive WTI crude oil surge. WTI crude oil up on May 15 at 89.5% YES; no Fed rate cuts in 2026 at 67.0% YES.

US strikes killed Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei, raising tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027 at 59% YES.

Iran plans to reveal its strategy for the Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions with Israel. Traffic normal by July 31 at 42.5% YES.

Trump and Xi agree to keep the Strait of Hormuz open amid US-Iran tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June at 21% YES.

G7 finance ministers are due to meet in Paris on Monday and Tuesday as long-term borrowing costs surge.

US issues five peace ultimatums to Iran amid tensions. US-Iran nuclear deal by June priced at 22.5% YES.

G7 finance ministers and central bank governors will meet in Paris Monday and Tuesday as they grapple with higher long-term borrowing costs and the economic fallout from the…

Trump warns Iran, escalating tensions and reducing peace deal prospects. Israel-Iran peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 12.5% YES.

Trump considers military options as US-Iran nuclear talks stall. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 49% YES.

Trump hints at military action against Iran, reducing peace deal odds. Permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 12.5% YES.

Les ministres des Finances du G7 se réunissent lundi et mardi à Paris, préoccupés par les conséquences économiques du conflit et du blocage

Iran conflict leads to $25B in losses for global firms. WTI Crude at $110 in May 2026 priced at 60.5% YES.

Trump discusses resuming combat operations against Iran. Iran closes its airspace by May 31 at 39.5% YES; US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 31.5% YES.

G7 meets in Paris amid rising tensions with Iran. US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30 at 49% YES.

Trump holds a Situation Room meeting amid stalled US-Iran nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June 30 at 20.5% YES, next diplomatic meeting by then at 48.9% YES.

Iran proposed a long truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in US nuclear talks. Nuclear deal by June at 24.5% YES, traffic normalization by May at 5.2% YE

Iran proposes a truce and reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic returns to normal by end of May at 5% YES.

US rejected Iran's peace proposal ahead of a Situation Room meeting. Diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026 at 44.5% YES.