The early arrival of the southwest monsoon brings a bittersweet forecast for India, marking its weakest rainfall projection in 20 years. Ending a seven-year trend of healthy monsoons, this shift demands strategic planning to manage irregular rainfall.

IMD forecasts southwest monsoon to begin in Kerala on May 26, slightly earlier than the usual June 1 onset.

IMD forecast the Kerala onset date using an indigenously developed statistical model issued operationally since 2005. | India News

El Nino is linked to unusually warm sea surface temperatures. In India, it is associated with harsher summers and weaker monsoons. | India News

The weather department's first-stage long-range forecast for this year has already predicted below-normal rainfall for the June–September period. | India News

The early arrival of the southwest monsoon brings a bittersweet forecast for India, marking its weakest rainfall projection in 20 years. Ending a seven-year trend of healthy…