China rejects US sanctions over Iran, increasing tensions. Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 16.5% YES.

US and Iran announce a framework to ease tensions and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. WTI crude oil prices reaching $130 in May 2026 at 8.5% YES.

China rejects US sanctions over Iran, increasing tensions. Israel-Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026 at 16.5% YES.

US Navy strikes Iranian supertanker, raising regional tensions. US invasion of Iran before 2027 at 26.5% YES, Strait of Hormuz traffic normalization at 37.5% YE

US plans military escalation in Iran amid high tensions. Iran leadership status by end of 2026 at 3.3% YES.