The prospect of prolonged political uncertainty in Greece is gradually becoming a subject of discussion among foreign observers dealing with the country.

The interest comes from partners and allies who try to assess a potentially worrisome situation, while there are also some who have taken advantage of similar circumstances in the past and perhaps do not view the emerging development with the same concern.

At this stage, everyone has their eyes set on the upcoming Thessaloniki International Fair (September 5-13), not only to hear about developments in the Greek economy and whether the prime minister’s announcements would potentially disrupt the fiscal balance, but also, above all, for the impact that the presence of all the political leaders in the city will have on the first polls of the fall season.

Ignoring the usual and temporary small fluctuations recorded in polls, the big picture that is taking shape after former premier Alexis Tsipras’ return to the fore and the expected rise of the new party he founded to second place, means that ruling New Democracy will be aiming for 30% in the polls, Tsipras’ Greek Left Alliance (ELAS) for 20%, and PASOK will fight to rise above 10%.

For both substantive and symbolic reasons, it is obviously important whether each of the three largest parties will fall short of or exceed the above percentages.