Premium‌Labour leader Chris Hipkins and National leader Christopher Luxon will be going head-to-head in the upcoming election. Photo / NZME Labour leader Chris Hipkins and National leader Christopher Luxon will be going head-to-head in the upcoming election. Photo / NZME The likelihood of the three coalition Government parties being re-elected continues to slide, according to the latest Herald-Motu Research Poll of Polls. The latest model, run after yesterday’s RNZ Reid Research poll, shows the probability of National, Act and New Zealand First winning a second term is 48.2%.