Premium‌Chris Hipkins' Labour Party is likely to be polling at 30.9%, just ahead of Christopher Luxon's National on 29.8%, the NZ Herald-Motu Research Poll of Polls indicates. Graphic / Paul SlaterChris Hipkins' Labour Party is likely to be polling at 30.9%, just ahead of Christopher Luxon's National on 29.8%, the NZ Herald-Motu Research Poll of Polls indicates. Graphic / Paul SlaterThe likelihood of the current National-led coalition being returned to power after the election has dipped slightly, with the NZ Herald-Motu Research Poll of Polls showing the coalition has a 69.9% probability of being re-elected – down from 76.4% the last time the model was run on June 23.