Premium‌The latest polling shows fortunes are changing for Labour's Chris Hipkins and National's Christopher Luxon. Graphic / Paul SlaterThe latest polling shows fortunes are changing for Labour's Chris Hipkins and National's Christopher Luxon. Graphic / Paul SlaterThe coalition’s likelihood of being re-elected in November continues to drop, with the NZ Herald-Motu Research Poll of Polls calculating the three coalition parties have a 70.2% probability of being able to form a Government.

The model takes into account Monday night’s 1News-Verian poll, which showed the coalition would narrowly