Bitcoin is holding above $65,000 as diplomats in Tehran and Muscat inch toward a deal that could defuse one of the year’s most disruptive geopolitical flashpoints. The Iran-Oman negotiations, now reportedly in their final stages, center on shipping access through the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway that carries a massive share of the world’s oil and liquefied natural gas.

The prospect of stabilizing traffic through Hormuz has triggered a risk-on rotation across global markets. Bitcoin, which spent much of the Hormuz disruption period trading well below current levels, has climbed back into the $64,000 to $65,000 range as traders price in lower geopolitical risk.

What the deal actually looks like

Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baqaei confirmed in early August 2026 that the two sides are finalizing terms. The emerging framework reportedly includes a 60-day interim arrangement, essentially a trial period for normalized shipping access before any permanent deal locks in.

Reports suggest American officials may have some awareness of, or input into, the interim arrangement. Iran has publicly downplayed any direct US participation. Critically, Iranian officials have stressed that signing an agreement with Oman won’t automatically flip the Strait back open. Additional conditions, likely tied to US sanctions posture or broader diplomatic concessions, would still need to be satisfied.