Microsoft Heads Into Q4 Results With High Expectations

The company has steady cloud and AI momentum and a clear path for margin stability. But expectations are high, and investors will be watching a few key numbers very closely. Azure is the main driver of Microsoft’s story right now. Analysts expect another quarter of solid cloud growth, aided by AI workloads and stronger enterprise demand.

The key question is whether Azure can stay in the high‑30% range or show signs of slowing. Even a small miss here could weigh on the stock. Investors also look for more detail on Copilot adoption and how Microsoft plans to turn usage into revenue.

Further, markets will be closely watching Microsoft’s capex levels and operating margins, and a softer FY27 capex outlook would likely be seen as a relief.

Currently, Wall Street expects Microsoft to report earnings per share (EPS) of $4.24 for Q4 FY26, reflecting 16% year-over-year growth. Revenue is estimated to grow about 15% to $87.62 billion.