We have made it to the All-Star break, and as long as we don’t have real games to watch anyway, we may as well look back on what’s happened so far, and where the season’s headed.With that sentiment in mind, this week I’m looking at every hitter I told you to buy and sell so far (except for last week), and we’ll see if the label I gave them still holds. To keep this as legible as possible, I chose a single stat to evaluate hitters before and after I wrote about them, and that stat is wRC+. For the uninitiated, wRC+ takes everything a hitter does at the plate and spits out a number: 100 is league average, 110 is 10% above league average, 99 is 1% below league average, etc. It adjusts for a player’s park and the overall offensive environment (so 100 doesn’t mean the same thing in the steroid era as the dead ball era).It’s a great catch-all stat, but, like any, it has its limitations. It doesn’t account for playing time or counting stats, so we’ll have to do some mental adjustments, especially for players who get a lot of value from steals. That said, how a hitter does with the stick is the main determinant of their value, and the most sustainable part of their performance. Let’s dive in.Buy recommendationsDatePlayerwRC+ at writingwRC+ at ASGwRC+ Diff.4/28/26Caleb Durbin46108624/28/26Jac Caglianone104119154/28/26Ronald Acuña107140334/28/26Ivan Herrera134119-155/5/26Lawrence Butler5381285/5/26Fernando Tatis78118405/12/26Mark Vientos9264-285/12/26Willson Contreras135166315/12/26Carson Benge73126535/19/26Dylan Crewsn/a73n/a5/19/26Dansby Swanson86103175/19/26Will Smith10210205/27/26Esmerlyn Valdez892101215/27/26Zach Neto114125116/2/26Bryce Eldridge116139236/2/26Tyler Stephenson63142796/9/26JJ Wetherholt112127156/9/26Brandon Nimmo10711476/16/26Zack Gelof12690-366/16/26Curtis Mead127142156/23/26Miguel Vargas129155266/23Ketel Marte10911896/30/26Vladimir Guerrero96137416/30/26Kyle Stowers106147416/30/26Lars Nootbaar14251-91(One more note: I omitted the occasional name, like Roman Anthony, who couldn’t handle the pressure of being mentioned here and immediately went on the IL.)I was surprised that I listed Caleb Durbin as a buy, and even more surprised that it actually worked out. I usually don’t have nice things to say about players who don’t hit the ball with any real authority, but he makes a ton of contact and is on nearly a 20-HR/20-SB pace this year. The average will rise — he runs low BABIPs, but not .239-low — and he might tack on another 10 steals. I’d still be happy to jettison him to another team. He’s been playing near the peak of his potential value, and there’s more downside than upside.If you were to construct Durbin’s exact opposite, it would essentially be Jac Caglianone — he swings and misses a ton, but destroys the ball when he makes contact. If he would just lift the ball a little more, he would be an annual 40-home run guy. Easier said than done, but there is power upside here. Pencil him in to keep doing what he’s doing, but I’d pay up for him in dynasty leagues.Skipping over the injured Ronald Acuña, we get to my first miss in Ivan Herrera. I’m still a believer long term, but something has been off for the past few weeks. His bat speed is down half a tick since the start of June, and he isn’t hitting the ball as hard. He could be tired, or this could be one of those blips you only notice when you zoom in on a random month. He’s still one of the top catchers out there, but I’d be open to selling at top-catcher value in case he can’t shake this.I was directionally right about Lawrence Butler, but not so right that you’d want him on your fantasy team. The guy who looked like a budding star a couple of years ago is now barely hanging on to a starting job.Fernando Tatis finally hit a few homers. My prediction that he’d eventually reach 20 is far from guaranteed, but I think he has a solid hot streak in him. I’d buy if his manager is getting sick of waiting for the guy they thought they were drafting.
Midseason review: Buy Owen Caissie, sell Otto Lopez, hold A.J. Ewing in fantasy baseball
Owen Poindexter checks his work, revisiting his first-half fantasy baseball player recommendations to see where he went right and wrong.












