https://www.foxnews.com/world/designated-target-mojtaba-khamenei-sign-trump-deal-unprecedented-courier-setup-
Iran’s Supreme Leader, Mojtaba Khamenei, is set to hold a commemoration ceremony for his father, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, in Tehran, according to an announcement. This development comes amidst continued uncertainty about Mojtaba’s public visibility, as he has not been seen in public since his appointment in March 2026 due to injuries sustained in a US-Israeli airstrike. The ceremony is scheduled for this Tuesday, though it remains unclear if Mojtaba will attend in person given ongoing security concerns and his undisclosed location. The market has shown a slight increase in the probability of him appearing publicly by July 31, with current pricing at 6% for a YES outcome.
Key Takeaways
Announcement of a commemoration ceremony appears to increase the probability of Mojtaba Khamenei making a public appearance, albeit with ongoing uncertainty about his attendance.
Market activity suggests a slight rise in the likelihood of a public sighting by July 31, now priced at 6% YES, up from 4% in the last 24 hours.
