As Nigeria moves closer to adopting state police, analysts say the bigger challenge is no longer whether states should have their own police forces, but whether they have the financial strength, governance capacity and institutional structures to sustain them.

The National Assembly’s passage of the State Police constitutional amendment bill has reignited a debate that has lingered for decades. Proponents argue that decentralising policing is critical to tackling Nigeria’s worsening insecurity, while opponents fear it could be abused by state governors.

But beyond the constitutional and political arguments lies an equally pressing question: Are Nigerian states financially and institutionally prepared to establish and maintain their own police services?

The answer, according to security experts and fiscal analysts, is mixed.

While a handful of states have demonstrated stronger revenue growth, governance reforms and investments in local security structures, many others remain heavily dependent on federal allocations, raising questions about their ability to sustain one of the most expensive public institutions in government.