President Donald Trump signed Executive Order 14160 in January 2025 in an effort to end birthright citizenship, as part of the Birthright Citizenship Act. The U.S. Supreme Court is expected to weigh in on the matter this week.

The move from Trump has faced setbacks, including from an October federal appeals court decision, which found it inconsistent with the Constitution and blocked it.

The 1st U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals also expressed skepticism about the order, with a three-judge panel indicating that the order appeared unconstitutional.

Here’s What Prediction Market Is Saying

Data from Kalshi, a federally authorized betting platform, shows that over $1.5 million has been bet on the contract "Will Trump’s birthright citizenship order come into effect?"