A World Cup group stage match between two already-eliminated teams shouldn’t generate much excitement. But crypto prediction markets don’t care about tournament stakes, they care about volume.

Senegal faces Iraq on June 26 at BMO Field in Toronto in a Group I fixture that carries zero advancement implications for either side. On Polymarket, the decentralized prediction platform, Senegal is priced at approximately 75.5% implied probability to win, with Iraq sitting at a modest 8.5% and a draw at around 16.5%.

Dead rubber, live markets

This particular matchup, Group I Match 62, kicks off at 3:00 p.m. ET. Both Senegal and Iraq have already been knocked out of contention. The lopsided odds tell a straightforward story: the market thinks Senegal wins roughly three out of every four times these two play, which says more about the relative talent gap than anything about what’s at stake.

Crypto’s World Cup footprint keeps expanding