Two teams with nothing left to play for except pride will meet at BMO Field in Toronto on June 26, and the crypto prediction market has already made up its mind about who walks away with the win.
Senegal takes on Iraq in a Group I match at the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with kickoff set for 19:00 UTC. Both squads are mathematically eliminated from advancing to the knockout stage, but that hasn’t stopped traders on platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi from pouring money into the outcome.
What the prediction markets are saying
Senegal enters the match as a heavy favorite. Across Polymarket and Kalshi, the Lions of Teranga sit at approximately 75.5-79% implied probability of winning the match.
Iraq, meanwhile, is priced at just 8-8.5% on those same platforms. A draw comes in around 14-16.5%.
