By
Pete Syme
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Argentina's Lionel Messi celebrates his second goal against Algeria on Tuesday.
Want to know who'll win the World Cup? Goldman Sachs has you covered.
Spain, France, and Argentina have the highest chance of winning the World Cup according to a prediction model by Goldman Sachs analysts.
TL;DRAI
Goldman Sachs assigns Spain, France, Argentina ~20% World Cup win probability using Elo ratings, talent, momentum, mentality, geography. Quantitative models outperforming traditional forecasts prove multi-variable analytics inform strategic decisions in complex systems.
610 words~3 min read
