The biggest loss of the World Cup so far was a draw.Not necessarily for Spain, the tournament favorite that began its pursuit Monday by going nil-nil for 90 minutes with little Cape Verde. But certainly for the Polymarket user who wagered $1 million — with a potential upside of less than $86,000 — on La Roja to win.The shocking result in Atlanta somehow seemed routine by the end of the day, when all four matches had ended in a draw.The nine total draws through 24 games (37.5 percent rate) have far outpaced the typical frequency within a men’s World Cup group stage. From 1998 through 2022 — a stretch of seven World Cups — only 25 percent of the group matches were draws.Avello said between 5 to 7 percent of the pregame betting handle is typically on a draw — though that obviously varies depending on the matchup. For in-game live betting, he said, that number can rise to roughly 20 to 25 percent.“Now the bettor is into the flow of the game, less time left in the game, the play of the underdog is substantial – they’re playing well, looks like they might have a chance,” Avello said.He explained this Wednesday while keeping an eye on the second half of Portugal-DR Congo, a game in Houston that ended in a surprising result: a 1-1 draw.