EBRD lowers Türkiye growth forecast for 2026 and 2027
The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) expects Türkiye’s economy to grow by 3.5 percent in 2026, down from its 4 percent forecast in February 2026.
Growth is projected to pick up to 4 percent in 2027, also revised down from 4.5 percent, it said.
These forecasts were published on June 2 in the bank’s Regional Economic Prospects report.
The report attributes the downward revision of Türkiye’s growth forecasts to rising energy imports, persistent inflationary pressures and potential effects of the conflict in the Middle East on tourism and manufacturing value chains.
