A new Pulse poll suggests Greece’s political landscape has become more fluid following the formal entry of Alexis Tsipras and Maria Karystianou into the pre-election arena.

The survey for Skai found New Democracy still leading with 25.5% of voting intention, maintaining a double-digit advantage over Tsipras’ party, the Greek Left Alliance (ELAS), at 13.5%. Even so, the governing party remains far from the self-sufficiency threshold. PASOK, which had appeared to secure second place in recent months, slipped to third with 10%, narrowly ahead of Karystianou’s new Hope for Democracy party at 9.5%.

The findings, which do not factor in a possible party led by former prime minister Antonis Samaras, also reshaped the picture for smaller parties. The Communist Party stood at 6%, Greek Solution at 5.5% and Course of Freedom at 4.5%, moving farther from the 10% range that had kept them in contention for second place. Voice of Reason registered 3%, while MeRA25 reached 2.5%. SYRIZA, affected by the creation of ELAS, fell to 2%. Democrats – Progressive Center, and Niki each polled 1%, while New Left did not register in the survey.

Polling data pointed to distinct voter bases for the two newcomers. Among those identifying as left wing, 25% backed ELAS, while 33% of center-left voters supported it. Support dropped to 10% among centrists. Of those who voted for SYRIZA in June 2023, 55% said they would now vote for Tsipras’ party. ELAS also drew potential support from New Democracy, PASOK and the Communist Party.