US military fires missile to stop an oil tanker amid ongoing blockade. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July 31 now at 39.5% YES.
Market Snapshot
The market “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31” is currently priced at 39.5% YES, down from 59% a week ago. Recent activity reflects a consistent decrease, suggesting heightened concerns about traffic normalization.
Key Takeaways
The U.S. military action appears to suggest a continuation of heightened enforcement tactics in the Strait of Hormuz.
Recent developments are consistent with scenarios where traffic normalization by July 31 becomes less likely.
US enforces a strict blockade on Iranian ports, impacting maritime traffic. Normal traffic in the Strait of Hormuz by July 31 at…
Trump directs military to protect oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz. Traffic returns to normal by July 31 at 27% YES.
IRGC Navy halts US oil tanker in the Strait of Hormuz, raising tensions. Traffic normal by July 31 at 60% YES.
Iran shuts down the Strait of Hormuz after US military strikes. Normal traffic by June 15 at 0.5% YES, by July 31 at 21.5% YES.
US blockade of Iranian ports continues despite Trump's claim of lift. Strait of Hormuz traffic normal by July 31 at 56.5% YES.
US intensifies Hormuz blockade, redirecting 121 vessels. Blockade lifted by May 31, 2026 at 0.1% YES; traffic normal by July 31…
