## Market Snapshot
US-Iran agreement/ceasefire extension market shows 38% YES, down from 44% 24 hours ago. The likelihood of Trump agreeing to Iranian demands by June 30 has fallen to 22% YES, reflecting recent developments.
## Key Takeaways
– Trump’s tougher stance appears to decrease the likelihood of a US-Iran agreement by June 7. – The harder US terms suggest a delay in scheduling the next diplomatic meeting. – Pricing indicates a significantly reduced probability of Trump agreeing to Iranian demands by June 30.
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