## Market Snapshot

US-Iran Agreement/Ceasefire Extension market shows a 33.5% YES probability, down from 60% in the last 24 hours. The Iran Enriched Uranium Surrender market is at 43.5% YES, down from 48% a day ago.

## Key Takeaways

– The news suggests a decreased likelihood of a new US-Iran agreement or ceasefire extension by June 7. – Iran’s refusal to surrender enriched uranium appears consistent with decreased chances of agreement by the end of 2026. – Market activity indicates a potential diplomatic stalemate, affecting the likelihood of nuclear agreement outcomes.

## Article Body