Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be less than -1.0%?

1.1 – 1.5% 35%1.6 – 2.0% 20.2%0.6 – 1.0% 20%-0.9 – -0.5% 11.5%Polymarket$43,489 Vol.$43,489 Vol.Jan 10, 2027<-1.0%$18,543 Vol.22%-0.9 – -0.5%$2,685 Vol.11%-0.4 – 0.0%$3,568 Vol.1%0.1 – 0.5%$2,914 Vol.5%0.6 – 1.0%$3,003 Vol.20%1.1 – 1.5%$3,526 Vol.37%1.6 – 2.0%$4,027 Vol.20%2.0-2.4%$2,640 Vol.5%2.5%+$2,583 Vol.4%1.1 – 1.5% 35%1.6 – 2.0% 20.2%0.6 – 1.0% 20%-0.9 – -0.5% 11.5%Polymarket$43,489 Vol.$43,489 Vol.Jan 10, 2027<-1.0%$18,543 Vol.22%-0.9 – -0.5%$2,685 Vol.11%-0.4 – 0.0%$3,568 Vol.1%0.1 – 0.5%$2,914 Vol.5%0.6 – 1.0%$3,003 Vol.20%1.1 – 1.5%$3,526 Vol.37%1.6 – 2.0%$4,027 Vol.20%2.0-2.4%$2,640 Vol.5%2.5%+$2,583 Vol.4%This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.

The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.