This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Tim Cook's planned September 2026 exit as Apple CEO, with hardware lead John Ternus succeeding him, has driven near-certain market consensus on his departure before 2027 amid record tech-sector turnover. Elevated leadership changes stem from AI-driven restructuring, with Adobe's Shantanu Narayen also exiting after an 18-year tenure as the company pivots its creative software around large language models and generative tools. Broader pressures include competitive platform shifts at firms like Meta and Google, supply-chain complexities for hardware updates, and succession planning at mature tech giants where tenures have lengthened recently. Upcoming catalysts such as earnings calls and developer conferences could surface further signals, though most other listed CEOs face low implied probabilities absent major regulatory or performance shocks.This market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement of the named CEO's resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect.This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the named CEOs and their respective companies, however a consensus of credible reporting sources will also be used.Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:41 AM ETThis market will resolve according to the named people no longer serving as CEOs of their respective companies for any length of time between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.











