Ukraine’s northern border area is sufficiently fortified, making a large-scale enemy offensive unlikely, although strikes on border regions or various acts of sabotage aimed at tying down Ukrainian forces cannot be ruled out.

This opinion was expressed by military expert Pavlo Narozhnyi in a comment to Ukrainian Radio, Ukrinform reports.

Commenting on the reality of a possible offensive threat from Belarus and along the Chernihiv-Kyiv direction, the expert noted: “First of all, in this sector, which is very close to Kyiv, there are two rivers. On one section, the border runs eastward along the Dnipro River. On the second section, farther west, it runs along the Prypiat River, slightly to the north. …If there is any offensive in this closest sector, it would involve forcing river crossings. And crossing rivers is an extremely difficult military task associated with heavy losses.”

In addition, he said, northern Ukraine contains many lakes, small rivers, swamps, and very few roads.

“And all these roads are mined, and engineering fortifications have been built there… So simply advancing through the area will not work. Quite serious fortifications have been constructed along the entire border line,” the expert stressed.