$24,585 Vol.May 22, 2026PolymarketMay 22$9,586 Vol.60%May 31$7,695 Vol.80%December 31$7,304 Vol.96%$24,585 Vol.PolymarketMay 22$9,586 Vol.60%May 31$7,695 Vol.80%December 31$7,304 Vol.96%This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump’s February 2026 directive sparked an unprecedented transparency push on UAP records, leading the Pentagon to drop its first major tranche of over 160 never-before-seen files, videos, and photos on May 8 under the new PURSUE program. This rolling release, coordinated across agencies and framed as historic government openness, has fueled trader momentum by confirming active declassification momentum rather than a one-off event. A second wave of materials is now being processed for imminent publication, with officials signaling more batches “very soon” as reviews continue through summer. These verified developments position ongoing disclosures as the key catalyst, though the pace of future tranches remains the critical swing factor for any year-end resolution.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Market Opened: May 18, 2026, 7:01 PM ETVolume$24,585End DateDec 31, 2026Market OpenedMay 18, 2026, 7:01 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
