Trump announces new US-China deals on Boeing jets, agriculture

## Market Snapshot

For the “Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?” market, YES is currently priced at 88.5%, up from 88% 24 hours ago. The “Trump-Xi Summit Announcements by May 22” market shows a range of YES probabilities, with the highest being 11.5%, down from 18% 24 hours ago.

## Key Takeaways

– The announcement of new trade agreements between the U.S. and China appears to increase the likelihood of Xi Jinping visiting the U.S. before 2027, supporting a YES outcome in that market. – Recent trade agreements, including Boeing aircraft and agricultural purchases, suggest a higher probability of significant announcements by May 22, consistent with a YES outcome for that market. – The positive diplomatic environment indicated by these trade announcements suggests a more favorable atmosphere for a potential extended handshake between Trump and Xi, which supports the YES scenario.

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