This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.
Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.
The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump's February 2026 directive launched the PURSUE program, prompting federal agencies to review and release decades-old UAP records on a rolling basis. The Pentagon followed with an initial tranche of 161 files on May 8, including videos and documents dating back decades, then a second batch of over 200 items on May 22 featuring military footage, audio, and firsthand accounts of unexplained encounters. Additional tranches are scheduled every few weeks under coordinated efforts by the Department of War and ODNI. Traders are tracking the pace of these confirmed releases against any announced deadlines, as ongoing transparency pushes and agency coordination continue to shape expectations for further declassifications.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components.Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count.The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 4:24 PM ETVolume$230,123End DateJun 30, 2026Market OpenedMay 26, 2026, 4:24 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
