Brookings Senior Fellow Robert Kagan writes in The Atlantic that U.S. defeat in Iran war “is not only possible but likely.” In this episode of The Brookings Current, Kagan is joined by Melanie Sisson and Michael O’Hanlon, also senior fellows in Foreign Policy, to discuss their latest thinking on the war, and whether it has weakened America’s hand in the region.

Access Kagan’s article, “Checkmate in Iran: Washington can’t reverse or control the consequences of losing this war” (subscription required).

KAGAN: Iran controls access to the Strait of Hormuz, which means they control access to a major portion of the world’s energy supply which has completely reversed the power situation i in the region so it’s pretty much a disaster.

O’HANLON: The old status quo is gone. The whole thing, the whole enchilada is to some extent up for play.

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