Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House since the 2024 elections remains the primary barrier to articles of impeachment advancing before December 31, 2026. With the current majority unlikely to pursue proceedings against the president, recent Democratic resolutions introduced in response to April 2026 statements on Iran have been tabled or failed to gain traction. Traders see the November 2026 midterms as a potential turning point for House composition, yet any new majority would not convene until January 2027, leaving limited time for action within the resolution window. Public polling shows majority support for impeachment among voters, but this has not altered the procedural realities in the current Congress.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Market Opened: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETVolume$709,151End DateDec 31, 2026Market OpenedJul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETWe anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".