Grayscale reports U.S. inflation delays Fed rate cuts until September 2027. Rate cut in June and July at 1% YES.
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This article examines how recent events may relate to prediction market pricing. It reflects interpretive analysis of publicly available information and is provided for informational purposes only.
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## Market Snapshot
The “Bitcoin Price Predictions for May 17” market is currently priced at 29.5% YES, down from 47% 24 hours ago. The “Fed Decision June and July” market is priced at 1% YES for a rate cut, reflecting a significant decline from previous expectations.
US-Iran tensions keep Fed rate cuts unlikely in 2026. No rate cuts in 2026 at 67% YES.
Market pricing took virtually any chance of a cut off the table between now and the end of 2027.
Traders in the futures market shifted the probability of a rate increase by the end of 2026 to 52% on Friday morning.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is pushing for 50 bps to offset missed opportunities earlier this summer, but some analysts warn…
Futures markets took any realistic chance of a cut off the table until at least December.
In September, when the Fed last issued its 'summary of economic projections,' the central bank anticipated only one rate cut in…
