On a yet-to-be-determined date in April 2027, French voters will be called to the polls for the flagship event of the Fifth Republic: the presidential election. Much can change in a year, from the number of candidates at the starting line to the geopolitical context shaped by ongoing wars and their impact on the economy and society. All these factors are likely to influence the upcoming presidential campaign. As some teams are already preparing for it, voters, too, are showing interest in the election, with 86% expressing interest.

To set the stage for this major event, the French electoral survey conducted by Ipsos BVA-CESI Ecole d'Ingénieurs for Le Monde, CEVIPOF and the Jean Jaurès Foundation, with its large sample of 10,962 registered voters, offers a recent assessment of the municipal elections and describes the political landscape in which an unusual campaign will soon take place. The survey suggests the campaign will be marked by the strength of the far right, by a deep desire for change, but also by the polarization of political preferences, casting doubt on the ability of any candidate to unify voters.

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